Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.007838 0.008810 0.009872 0.011121 0.012552 0.014146 0.016058
2025-01-26 0.006255 0.007566 0.009123 0.011118 0.013624 0.016689 0.020752
2025-02-02 0.005603 0.007119 0.009023 0.011613 0.015082 0.019618 0.026083
2025-02-09 0.004936 0.006515 0.008588 0.011543 0.015708 0.021461 0.030167
2025-02-16 0.004487 0.006120 0.008346 0.011653 0.016531 0.023604 0.034903
2025-02-23 0.004043 0.005670 0.007960 0.011484 0.016892 0.025076 0.038794
2025-03-02 0.003766 0.005420 0.007821 0.011642 0.017729 0.027328 0.044191
2025-03-09 0.003469 0.005109 0.007552 0.011559 0.018159 0.028964 0.048775
2025-03-16 0.003119 0.004683 0.007066 0.011074 0.017870 0.029360 0.051229
2025-03-23 0.002909 0.004453 0.006861 0.011016 0.018275 0.030961 0.056069
2025-03-30 0.002839 0.004437 0.006991 0.011523 0.019698 0.034516 0.065132
2025-04-06 0.002605 0.004134 0.006625 0.011140 0.019485 0.035041 0.068277
2025-04-13 0.002401 0.003874 0.006320 0.010855 0.019461 0.035996 0.072631
2025-04-20 0.002264 0.003716 0.006180 0.010857 0.019988 0.038109 0.079880
2025-04-27 0.002216 0.003708 0.006296 0.011339 0.021497 0.042403 0.092789
2025-05-04 0.002089 0.003550 0.006131 0.011271 0.021890 0.044411 0.100749
2025-05-11 0.001999 0.003450 0.006062 0.011378 0.022654 0.047322 0.111474
2025-05-18 0.001881 0.003290 0.005867 0.011214 0.022817 0.048900 0.119100
2025-05-25 0.001813 0.003217 0.005831 0.011367 0.023688 0.052233 0.132061
2025-06-01 0.001722 0.003094 0.005689 0.011286 0.024022 0.054333 0.142064
2025-06-08 0.001594 0.002892 0.005377 0.010814 0.023405 0.054009 0.145050
2025-06-15 0.001521 0.002793 0.005262 0.010758 0.023759 0.056184 0.155935
2025-06-22 0.001510 0.002813 0.005390 0.011251 0.025492 0.062195 0.180075